INDIAN BENCHMARKS end at Record High… Nifty closes above 8100

INDIAN EQUITY BENCHMARKS record high as software exporters such as Infosys rallied after strong US manufacturing and construction data, while continued foreign buying and falling oil prices also helped.

·         Bharti Airtel was up 3% after the company said its arm signed an agreement to acquire over 2.7 million subscribers of yuMobile.

·         Further, Shares of Tata Motors gained nearly 3%, after a slew of rating upgrades. Morgan Stanley upgrades the stock to Overweight from Equal-weight.

The crucial resistance for Nifty is now seen at 8140 and above this 8165. Support for the immediate term is now placed at 8090 and next support will be 8040.

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COMMODITY MARKET STRATEGY 03 SEPTEMBER 2014

BASE METAL WRAP: Copper advanced in London as U.S. manufacturing expanded at the quickest clip in three years and construction spending rebounded, signaling increased demand.

ENERGY WRAP: Natural gas prices dropped on Tuesday after weather forecasting models called for falling temperatures across the U.S., which should cut into the need for air conditioning and thus reduce demand for the commodity at the nation's thermal power plants. Oil prices dropped on Tuesday due to mounting concerns that global supply is far outreaching demand, while a stronger U.S. dollar also bruised the commodity.

PRECIOUS METAL WRAP: Gold futures extended losses on Tuesday, slumping to more than two month lows as the broadly stronger dollar dampened investor demand for the precious metal.

GLOBAL EVENTS TO WATCH: Non-Manufacturing PMI(CNY), GDP q/q(AUD), HSBC Services PMI(CNY), RBA Gov Stevens Speaks(AUD), Services PMI(GBP), BOC Rate Statement(CAD), Overnight Rate(CAD), Factory Orders m/m(USD), Total Vehicle Sales(USD), Beige Book(USD).

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COMMODITY MARKET STRATEGY 02 SEPTEMBER 2014

BASE METAL WRAP: Aluminium led most industrial metals higher as worse-than-expected manufacturing data in China and the euro area increased speculation of more economic stimulus. Copper fell in London on signs that factory demand will slow in China, the world’s largest consumer of the industrial metal.

ENERGY WRAP: West Texas Intermediate crude fell amid speculation that weakening manufacturing from Germany to China will cap demand for oil. Brent was steady in London.

PRECIOUS METAL WRAP: Gold extended a declined from a one-week high, retreating for a third day, as investors weighed the health of the global economy against tension between Ukraine and Russia.

           

GLOBAL EVENTS TO WATCH: Building Approvals m/m(AUD), Cash Rate(AUD), RBA Rate Statement(AUD), Construction PMI(GBP), Final Manufacturing PMI(USD), ISM Manufacturing PMI(USD), Construction Spending m/m(USD), IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism(USD), ISM Manufacturing Prices(USD).

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INDIAN BENCHMARK open higher levels with upside gains.

INDIAN BENCHMARK open higher levels with upside gains. Auto stocks will be in focus on the back of robust August sales. Further, metal and power stocks could extend gains after the Centre requested the apex court not to cancel permits for 46 blocks.

FURTHER, Cipla Ltd has launched an anti-asthma inhaler in Germany and Sweden that is a generic version of GlaxoSmithKline Plc's Advair, a move that will further dent sales of the British firm's top-selling product. Tata Motors reported 17.59% decline in total sales at 40,883 units in August, 2014 as against 49,611 units in the same month last year.

Trend in FII flows: The FIIs were net buyers of Rs 192cr in the cash segment on Monday while the DIIs were net sellers of Rs. 561cr, as per the provisional figures released by the NSE.

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INDIAN BENCHMARK opened on a flat note after two-day strong rally.

INDIAN BENCHMARK opened on a flat note after two-day strong rally. The data coming in as of yesterday is not really encouraging. Consumer inflation in July rose to a two-month high. July CPI inflation has increased to 7.96% as compared to 7.46% mom. IIP for June came in at a lower-than-expected 3.7% as against the revised May 2014 level of 5%.

FURTHER, BHEL has slipped 5.4% after a sharp 58% year-on-year drop in its net profit at Rs 194 crore for the quarter ended June 30, 2014 (Q1), mainly due to decline in sales from power and industry segments. Sun Pharmaceutical Industries Ltd reported net sales / Income from operations at Rs. 3,927 crores, a growth of 13% over same quarter last year.

Trend in FII flows: The FIIs were net buyers of Rs 192cr in the cash segment on Tuesday while the DIIs were net sellers of Rs. 39cr, as per the provisional figures released by the NSE.

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COMMODITY MARKET STRATEGY 08 AUGUST 2014

BASE METAL WRAP: Copper headed for a second weekly decline after imports by China, the biggest user of the metal, fell to the lowest since April 2013.

ENERGY WRAP: Brent and West Texas Intermediate crude climbed for a second day after U.S. President Barack Obama authorized air strikes in Iraq, the second-biggest oil producer in the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries.

PRECIOUS METAL WRAP: Gold advanced to the highest level in three weeks, poised to snap the longest run of weekly losses since September, as haven demand increased on unrest in the Middle East and tension over Ukraine.

GLOBAL EVENTS TO WATCH: Consumer Credit m/m, RBA Monetary Policy Statement, Trade Balance, Monetary Policy Statement, BOJ Press Conference, Employment Change, Unemployment Rate, Prelim Nonfarm Productivity q/q, Prelim Unit Labor Costs q/q, Wholesale Inventories m/m.

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COMMODITY MARKET STRATEGY 07 AUGUST 2014

BASE METAL WRAP:  

Copper prices fell to their lowest level in more than five weeks Wednesday, pressured by a stronger dollar and concerns about growth in China, the world's largest consumer of the metal.

ENERGY WRAP: 

West Texas Intermediate crude swung between gains and losses near a six-month low before trade data that will signal the strength of the economy in China, the world’s second-biggest oil consumer. Brent was steady.

PRECIOUS METAL WRAP: 

Gold held gains after the biggest advance in three weeks as tensions flared over Ukraine, increasing demand for a haven. Palladium climbed.

GLOBAL EVENTS TO WATCH: 

Employment Change q/q, Unemployment Rate, Asset Purchase Facility, Official Bank Rate, MPC Rate Statement, Minimum Bid Rate, Building Permits m/m, ECB Press Conference, Unemployment Claims, Ivey PMI, Natural Gas Storage.

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COMMODITY MARKET STRATEGY 06 AUGUST 2014

BASE METAL WRAP: London copper fell to its lowest level in two weeks and Shanghai prices slid nearly 1 percent, reflecting investor caution as weakness in China's services sector cast doubts on its economic recovery momentum.

ENERGY WRAP: West Texas Intermediate rose for a second time in three days after an industry report showed crude stockpiles declined in the U.S., the world’s biggest oil user. Brent climbed in London.

PRECIOUS METAL WRAP: Silver futures fell to a six-week low as the dollar’s advance reduced the appeal of commodities as alternative investments. Gold, platinum and palladium dropped.

GLOBAL EVENTS TO WATCH: Employment Change q/q, Unemployment Rate, Manufacturing Production m/m, Trade Balance, Trade Balance, Crude Oil Inventories.

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TOP CORPORATE NEWS 25 July 2014

• PNB Q1 profit beats forecast, up 10% but asset quality weak

Punjab National Bank net profit jumped 10.2 percent on yearly basis to Rs 1,405 crore on account of fall in provisions but decline in other income limited the profitability .The asset quality worsened during April-June quarter of current financial year 2014-15. The bank reported growth in profit for the first time in last four quarters.

• Shriram Transport Finance Q1 PAT drops 10% to Rs 306 cr

Shriram Transport Finance Corporation April-June quarter (Q1FY15) net profit declined by 10 percent to Rs 306 crore from Rs 341 crore in corresponding quarter of last fiscal. However, total income was up by 6 percent to Rs 2,015.8 crore from Rs 1,891.3 crore, Y-o-Y.

• UCO Bank Q1 profit up 2%, other income falls significantly

UCO Bank has reported a net profit of Rs 520 crore in the first quarter (April-June) of current financial year, increased marginally (1.7 percent) compared to Rs 511 crore in same quarter last year on account of significant fall in other income that was the reason behind fall in share price.

• Allahabad Bank Q1 net profit tanks 73% but NII rises 23%

Allahabad Bank reported a 72.7 percent decline in net profit at Rs 112.7 crore in April-June quarter (Q1FY15) compared to Rs 413 crore in same quarter last year on account of higher provisions, tax cost and fall in other income but net interest income growth was very strong.

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COMMODITY MARKET UPDATE 02 July 2014

BASE METAL WRAP: Copper prices climbed to a 16-week high in London as manufacturing expanded at the fastest pace this year in China, the world’s largest user of the metal used in pipes and wires.

ENERGY WRAP: West Texas Intermediate crude traded near the lowest price in almost three weeks before stockpile data that may signal the strength of fuel demand in the U.S., the world’s biggest oil consumer. Brent was steady in London.

PRECIOUS METAL WRAP: Gold traded below a three-month high on signs that the rally damped physical demand and as investors assessed the outlook for U.S. borrowing costs before Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen speaks today. Platinum fell from the highest since September and palladium snapped a seven-day rally.

GLOBAL EVENTS TO WATCH: Trade Balance, Construction PMI, Challenger Job Cuts y/y, ADP Non-Farm Employment Change, Factory Orders m/m, Crude Oil Inventories, Fed Chair Yellen Speaks.

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COMMODITY MARKET UPDATE 20 JUNE 2014

BASE METAL WRAP: Copper futures held near the previous session’s two-week high on Thursday, amid mounting optimism over the outlook for growth in the U.S. and China, the world’s two largest consumers of the industrial metal.

ENERGY WRAP: Brent crude headed for a second weekly gain as the U.S. said it will send military advisers to Iraq as violence escalates in the OPEC producer. West Texas Intermediate was steady in New York.

PRECIOUS METAL WRAP: Gold headed for the longest run of weekly advances since March after rising to a two-month high, as expectations that borrowing costs in the U.S. will remain low fueled demand for bullion as an alternative investment.

GLOBAL EVENTS TO WATCH: BOJ Gov Kuroda Speaks, Core CPI m/m, Core Retail Sales m/m.

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INDIAN BENCHMARKS ended marginally lower

INDIAN EQUITY BENCHMARKS have ended marginally lower as the Wholesale Price Index (WPI) has accelerated with Sensex and Nifty swinging between negative and positive zone. WPI inflation in May touched its highest level since December 2013 at 6.01 percent versus 5.3 percent in the previous month.

Further, ONGC may raise its stake in Cairn India's prolific Rajasthan oil fields as a condition for agreeing to allow the Anil Agarwal-group firm operate the block after expiry of contractual period. Central Bank of India rose 2.16% after the bank has fixed issue price of Rs 81.83 per share for preferential allotment of shares to LIC.

The crucial resistance for Nifty is now seen at 7550 and above this 7640. Support for the immediate term is now placed at 7485 and next support will be 7450.

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INDIAN BENCHMARKS ends positive …financials & auto shares gain

INDIAN EQUITY BENCHMARKS ended positive amid day long choppy trading session led by buying amongst financials and auto shares.

Further, Shares of Bharti Airtel slumped by 3.57% after Credit Suisse downgrades the stock to "underperform" from "neutral" and reduces the target price to 265 rupees from 275 rupees, citing competition from rival Rel Jio's, a unit of Reliance Industries. HDIL dipped 3% after Nomura Singapore offloaded more than two million shares of the Mumbai-based real estate firm through an open market transaction.

The crucial resistance for Nifty is now seen at 7660 and above this 7700. Support for the immediate term is now placed at 7590 and next support will be 7560

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CS PERFORMANCE MESSAGE

STOCK FUTURES:

FUTURES INTRADAY:

TATA MOTORS DVR FUTURES BUY CALL 3 TG

AUROBINDO PHARMA FUTURES BUY CALL 3 TG

HDFC BANK FUTURES BUY CALL 2 TG

BHARAT FORGE FUTURES BUY CALL 1 TG

BHARTI AIRTEL FUTURES SELL CALL COST EXIT

PREMIUM FUTURES:

TATA MOTORS DVR FUTURES BUY CALL 3 TG

NIFTY FUTURES:

OPTION:

BIOCON 480 CALL BUY CALL 3 TG

DLF 220 CALL BUY CALL 1 TG (BOOKED AT 14.80)

HINDALCO 165 CALL BUY CALL BOOKED AT 9.65

OPTION PREMIUM:

STOCK CASH:

STOCK CASH INTRADY:

BAJAJ CORP LTD BUY CALL 3 TG

AMTEK INDIA BUY CALL 2 TG

JAIN IRRIGATION SELL CALL 2 TG

MONSANTO INDIA BUY CALL SL TRIGGERED

STOCK CASH PREMIUM:

MUTHOOT FINANCE BUY CALL 1 TG

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CS PERFORMANCE MESSAGE:

STOCK FUTURES:

FUTURES INTRADAY:

ORIENTAL BANK FUTURES SELL CALL 3 TG

ADANIENT FUTURES BUY CALL 3 TG

BHEL FUTURES BUY CALL 2 TG

ALLAHABAD BANK FUTURES SELL CALL 1 TG

SBIN FUTURES BUY CALL 1 TG

HINDUSTAN ZINC FUTURES BUY CALL 1TG

VOLTAS FUTURES BUY CALL COST EXIT

APOLLO TYRE FUTURE BUY CALL SL TRIGGERED

PREMIUM FUTURES:

HAVELLS INDIA FUTURES BUY CALL 3 TG

SHRI RAM TRANSPORT FUTURES EXIT AT 962

TATA STEEL FUTURES BUY CALL SL TRIGGERED

NIFTY FUTURES:

BANK NIFTY FUTURES BUY CALL 1 TG

NIFTY FUTURES BUY CALL SL TRIGGERED

OPTION:

DLF 210 CALL BUY CALL 3 TG

JINDAL STEEL 320 CALL BUY CALL 3 TG

NIFTY 7300 CALL BUY CALL SL TRIGGERED

OPTION PREMIUM:

SESA STERLIRE 280 CALL BUY CALL 3 TG

STOCK CASH:

STOCK CASH INTRADY:

JSW STEEL BUY CALL 3 TG

MONNET ISPAT BUY CALL 3 TG

TATA CHEMICAL BUY CALL 1 TG

SYNDICATE BANK BUY CALL 1 TG

ADANIENT BUY CALL 1 TG

CANARA BANK SELL SL TRIGGERED

STOCK CASH PREMIUM:

JINDAL STEEL BUY CALL 2 TG

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INDIAN BENCHMARKS record high closing… Nifty ends at 7416.

INDIAN EQUITY BENCHMARKS ended at record high as RBI's stance in the bi-monthly credit policy review is taken as symbolic of good days ahead after the RBI governor Raghuram Rajan surprisingly slashed the mandatory statutory liquidity ratio (SLR) requirement for banks by 50 basis points to 22.5%. However, on expected lines the governor left the repo rate, unchanged at 8%.

Further, DLF rallied 4 percent that finance ministry is likely to announce tax breaks for Real Estate Investment Trust (REITs) in Budget. Shares of IPCA Labs were up 1.5% after the company announced a partnership with US-based Oncobiologics.

The crucial resistance for Nifty is now seen at 7420 and above this 7450. Support for the immediate term is now placed at 7340 and next support will be 7320.

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INDIAN BENCHMARK open flat with a marginal negative bias.

INDIAN BENCHMARK open flat with a marginal negative bias. YES Bank is set to raise $500 million by issuing fresh shares to a cluster of investors.

FURTHER, Bharat Heavy Electricals reported a 43% year-on-year decline in net profit for the financial year ended March 2014, a seventh consecutive fall. Shares of Crompton Greaves were up over 3% after the company's profit rose 2.5 times to Rs 63.82 crore in fourth quarter as against Rs 25.27 core profit in same period last year due to improvement in power systems business and rise in other income.

Trend in FII flows: The FIIs were net sellers of Rs 522cr in the cash segment on Thursday while the DIIs were net sellers of Rs. 195cr, as per the provisional figures released by the NSE.

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CS PERFORMANCE MESSAGE:

STOCK FUTURES:

FUTURES INTRADAY:

BANK OF INDIA FUTURES BUY CALL 3 TG

CROMPTON GREVES FUTURES SELL CALL 2 TG

UPL LTD FUTURES SELL CALL 2 TG

ALLAHABAD BANK FUTURES BUY CALL 1 TG

BHARAT FORGE FUTURES BUY CALLL 1 TG

PREMIUM FUTURES:

ADANIENT FUTURES SELL CALL 3 TG (BOOKED AT 449.10)

NIFTY FUTURES:

BANK NIFTY FUTURES SELL CALL 3 TG

NIFTY FUTURES SELL CALL 2 TG

OPTION:

BANK OF INDIA 320 CALL BUY CALL 3 TG

INFOSYS 3000 PUT BUY CALL 1 TG

OPTION PREMIUM:

STOCK CASH:

STOCK CASH INTRADY:

WOCK PHARMA SELL CALL 3 TG

AMARA RAJA BATTERIES BUY CALL 1 TG

INDIAN OIL CORPORATION SELL CALL 1 TG

SYNDICATE BANK BUY CALL 1 TG (BOOKED AT 147.60)

BANK OF INDIA EXIT AT 327

STOCK CASH PREMIUM:

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INDIAN BENCHMARKS ended on a weak note

INDIAN EQUITY BENCHMARKS ended on a weak note on expiry day. Indian Oil Corporation fell 3.44% after net profit fell 35.30% to Rs 9389.85 crore on 5.32% increase in total income to Rs 135465.86 crore in Q4 March 2014 over Q4 March 2013.

Further, Hindalco Group has posted a consolidated net profit of Rs. 21750.10 million for the year ended March 31, 2014 as compared to Rs. 30268.90 million for the year ended March 31, 2013. Coal India fell 0.59% after consolidated net profit fell 18.10% to Rs 4434.18 crore on 1.23% increase in total income to Rs 22382.35 crore in Q4 March 2014 over Q4 March 2013.

The crucial resistance for Nifty is now seen at 7325 and above this 7345. Support for the immediate term is now placed at 7200 and next support will be 7130.

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