Bond prices to consolidate at current levels: Dhawal Dalal

Dhawal Dalal, DSP BlackRock Invst said, "Bond prices are likely to consolidate at current levels. We expect the rally to pause from a technical perspective. Any dip in the price should be taken advantage of by the long-term investors."

 "We expect the benchmark 10-year to trend towards 8 percent in the next 6-9 months,"he added. 

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COMMODITY MARKET STRATEGY 15 SEPT. 2014

BASE METAL WRAP:

Copper lead most industrial metals lower after factory and retail-sales data signalled further slowing in China, the world’s biggest user.

ENERGY WRAP:

West Texas Intermediate and Brent crude declined for a second day as China’s industrial output expanded at the weakest pace since the global financial crisis.

PRECIOUS METAL WRAP:

Gold rallied from an eight-month low, snapping three days of losses, on speculation that reduced prices may spur purchases before the Federal Reserve begins a two-day policy meeting.

GLOBAL EVENTS TO WATCH:

Empire State Manufacturing Index, Capacity Utilization Rate, Capacity Utilization Rate.

Commodity Market Levels
Bullion- Market :-	Agri – Market ;-
CS CHANA (SEPTEMBER)) OVERVIEW: TREND  CONSOLIDATE SUP1:2780                                                          SUP2:2740                     RESIST1:2830 RESIST2:2870 TRADING STRATEGY: SELL ON RISE WWW.CAPITALSTARS.COM +917316790000	CS COPPER (NOVEMBER) OVERVIEW: TREND BEARISH SUP1:417 SUP2:412                    RESIST1:426 RESIST2:428 TRADING STRATEGY: SELL ON RISE WWW.CAPITALSTARS.COM +917316790000
CS JEERA (SEPTEMBER) OVERVIEW: TREND BEARISH SUP1:10675 SUP2:10530 RESIST1:10940 RESIST2:11100 TRADING STRATEGY: SELL ON RISE WWW.CAPITALSTARS.COM +917316790000	CS CRUDE (SEPTEMBER) OVERVIEW: TREND BEARISH SUP1:5550 SUP2:5500 RESIST1:5710 RESIST2:5780 TRADING STRATEGY: SELL ON RISE WWW.CAPITALSTARS.COM +917316790000
CS TURMERIC (SEPTEMBER) OVERVIEW: TREND BEARISH SUP1:5980 SUP2:5850 RESIST1:6200 RESIST2:6370 TRADING STRATEGY: SELL ON RISE WWW.CAPITALSTARS.COM +917316790000	CS GOLD (OCTOBER) OVERVIEW:                              TREND BEARISH SUP1:26700 SUP2:26500 RESIST1:27430 RESIST2:27480 TRADING STRATEGY: SELL ON RISE WWW.CAPITALSTARS.COM +917316790000
CS SOYABEAN (OCTOBER) OVERVIEW: TREND  CONSOLIDATE SUP1:3080 SUP2:2950 RESIST1:3240 RESIST2:3280 TRADING STRATEGY: SELL ON RISE WWW.CAPITALSTARS.COM +917316790000	CS SILVER (DECEMBER) OVERVIEW: TREND  BEARISH SUP1:40950 SUP2:40500                      RESIST1:41800 RESIST2:42280                                                         TRADING STRATEGY: SELL ON RISE WWW.CAPITALSTARS.COM +917316790000

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COMMODITY MARKET STRATEGY 09 SEPT. 2014

BASE METAL WRAP: 

 Nickel lead industrial metals lower as the dollar climbed, curbing demand for commodities as an investment. Copper prices surged on Monday on solid trade data from China.

ENERGY WRAP: 

West Texas Intermediate crude rose for the first time in four days before stockpile data that will signal the strength of fuel demand in the U.S., the world’s biggest oil consumer. Brent was steady in London.

PRECIOUS METAL WRAP: 

Gold traded near a three-month low as the dollar advanced on speculation the Federal Reserve will increase interest rates next year, curbing demand for an alternative investment. Platinum fell to the lowest since April.

GLOBAL EVENTS TO WATCH: 

NAB Business Confidence, Manufacturing Production m/m, BOE Gov Carney Speaks, NFIB Small Business Index, JOLTS Job Openings, FOMC Member Tarullo Speaks

COMMODITY MARKET LEVEL
BULLION COMMODITY	AGRI COMMODITY
CS COPPER (NOVEMBER) OVERVIEW: TREND BEARISH SUP1:424 SUP2:420                    RESIST1:432 RESIST2:438 TRADING STRATEGY: SELL ON RISE WWW.CAPITALSTARS.COM +917316790000	CS CHANA (SEPTEMBER)) OVERVIEW: TREND  BEARISH SUP1:2745                                                          SUP2:2695                     RESIST1:2870 RESIST2:2950 TRADING STRATEGY: SELL ON RISE WWW.CAPITALSTARS.COM +917316790000
CS CRUDE (SEPTEMBER) OVERVIEW: TREND BEARISH SUP1:5550 SUP2:5490 RESIST1:5700 RESIST2:5740 TRADING STRATEGY: SELL ON RISE WWW.CAPITALSTARS.COM +917316790000	CS JEERA (SEPTEMBER) OVERVIEW: TREND BEARISH SUP1:10920 SUP2:10675 RESIST1:11100 RESIST2:11340 TRADING STRATEGY: SELL ON RISE WWW.CAPITALSTARS.COM +917316790000
CS GOLD (OCTOBER) OVERVIEW:                                TREND BEARISH SUP1:27020 SUP2:26550 RESIST1:27480 RESIST2:27640 TRADING STRATEGY: SELL ON RISE WWW.CAPITALSTARS.COM +917316790000	CS TURMERIC (SEPTEMBER) OVERVIEW: TREND CONSOLIDATE SUP1:6310 SUP2:6164 RESIST1:6484 RESIST2:6820 TRADING STRATEGY: SELL ON RISE WWW.CAPITALSTARS.COM +917316790000
CS SILVER (DECEMBER) OVERVIEW: TREND  BEARISH SUP1:41200 SUP2:40500                      RESIST1:42450 RESIST2:42950                                                         TRADING STRATEGY: SELL ON RISE WWW.CAPITALSTARS.COM +917316790000	CS SOYABEAN (OCTOBER) OVERVIEW: TREND  BEARISH SUP1:3080 SUP2:2950 RESIST1:3280 RESIST2:3370 TRADING STRATEGY: SELL ON RISE WWW.CAPITALSTARS.COM +917316790000
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INDIAN BENCHMARK open flat amid sluggish trades among major Asian markets.

INDIAN BENCHMARK open flat amid sluggish trades among major Asian markets. Further, power and metal stocks will be in focus as the Supreme Court is scheduled today to announce its decision on coal block allocations.

FURTHER, Cipla will be in focus after the company entered into a commercial collaboration with S&D Pharma in the Czech Republic and Slovakia. Aditya Birla Chemicals Limited has acquired Jayshree Chemicals Ltd's caustic soda business for 2.12 billion rupees.

Trend in FII flows: The FIIs were net buyers of Rs 192cr in the cash segment on Monday while the DIIs were net sellers of Rs. 508cr, as per the provisional figures released by the NSE.

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INDIAN BENCHMARK open on a positive note tracking

INDIAN BENCHMARK open on a positive note tracking a bullish trend tracking Asian markets. Investors will be eying the HSBC India services PMI today.

FURTHER, NMDC's iron ore sales rose 23% to 25.2 lakh tonnes for the month of August. The company had dispatched 20.5 lakh tonnes iron ore during the same month last year. Hindalco has been exploring various options to raise USD 1 billion-plus or around Rs 5,000 to 6,000 crore funds.

Trend in FII flows: The FIIs were net buyers of Rs 192cr in the cash segment on Tuesday while the DIIs were net sellers of Rs. 167cr, as per the provisional figures released by the NSE

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MORNING MAIL 28 August 2014

INDIAN BENCHMARK open marginally higher amid firm global cues. Further, markets are likely to remain volatile in the latter half of the trading session with expiry of August derivative contracts today.

FURTHER, Piramal Enterprises is rejigging its research and development activities with a focus on molecules that are at an advanced stage of development. DLF will continue to be under pressure after the Supreme Court on Wednesday directed DLF to deposit Rs 630 crore in the registry within three months.

Trend in FII flows: The FIIs were net buyers of Rs 192cr in the cash segment on Wednesday while the DIIs were net sellers of Rs. 236cr, as per the provisional figures released by the NSE.

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INDIAN BENCHMARKS mark record closing high ahead of F&O expiry

INDIAN EQUITY BENCHMARKS ended with gains for the second consecutive trading session ahead of the F&O expiry tomorrow. Sentiment was on the positive side as the ongoing geopolitical tension in Israel, which was a major cause for concern seems to be finally ending as Hamas and Israel agreed to an open-ended cease-fire.

•    DLF fell 4.6 percent on Supreme Court order asking company to pay Rs 630 crore fine within three months.

•    Further, HDFC Bank declined 0.7 percent on the matter related to increase in FII investment limit may not be taken up by Foreign Investment Promotion Board in its meeting scheduled on August 29.

The crucial resistance for Nifty is now seen at 7945 and above this 7970. Support for the immediate term is now placed at 7915 and next support will be 7860.

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COMMODITY MARKET STRATEGY 26 August 2014

BASE METAL WRAP: Aluminium in London climbed for a second day following Alcoa Inc.’s decision to close a smelter in Italy and before durable goods orders data from the U.S., the second-largest consumer of industrial metals.

ENERGY WRAP: West Texas Intermediate traded near the lowest price in seven months before supply data that will signal the strength of fuel demand in the U.S, the world’s biggest oil consumer. Brent was steady in London.

PRECIOUS METAL WRAP: Gold held losses near a two-month low on speculation that the U.S. Federal Reserve will raise borrowing costs next year, strengthening the dollar and damping demand for an alternative investment.

                                             

GLOBAL EVENTS TO WATCH: Trade Balance, CB Leading Index m/m, Core Durable Goods Orders m/m, Durable Goods Orders m/m, HPI m/m, S&P/CS Composite-20 HPI y/y, CB Consumer Confidence, Richmond Manufacturing Index.

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INDIAN BENCHMARK opened lower

INDIAN BENCHMARK opened lower following consistent nervousness due to Supreme Court order on coal block allocation case.

FURTHER, Auro Life Pharma LLC, subsidiary of Aurobindo Pharma has got tentative approval from USFDA for anti-allergy drug fexofenadine hydrochloride 30 mg. Torrent Pharma has secured an exemption from price control for one of its newly developed fixed dose combination products.

Trend in FII flows: The FIIs were net buyers of Rs 192cr in the cash segment on Monday while the DIIs were net sellers of Rs. 45cr, as per the provisional figures released by the NSE.

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COMMODITY MARKET STRATEGY 25 AUGUST 2014

BASE METAL WRAP:  

Copper in Shanghai swung between gains and losses near the highest in almost four weeks after stockpiles fell the most since May and before housing data in the U.S., the second-biggest consumer of industrial metals.

ENERGY WRAP: 

Brent fell for a second day amid speculation that Middle East crude supplies will remain safe amid turmoil across the region. West Texas Intermediate was steady after a technical issue disrupted electronic trading.

PRECIOUS METAL WRAP: 

Investors are exiting the gold market on speculation that signs of sustained U.S. economic growth will push the Federal Reserve closer to raising interest rates, cutting demand for bullion as an inflation hedge.

                                             

GLOBAL EVENTS TO WATCH:  

German Ifo Business Climate, Flash Services PMI, New Home Sales.

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COMMODITY MARKET STRATEGY 22 AUGUST 2014

BASE METAL WRAP: Aluminium buyers in Japan, Asia’s largest importer, are set to agree on a record quarterly fee after lower output from Brazil deepened a global deficit, said three executives who will start negotiations next week. Copper in London rose to a two-week high, heading for the first weekly advance in a month on stronger-than-expected U.S. homes sales and before a speech by Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen.

ENERGY WRAP: West Texas Intermediate crude headed for a fifth weekly decline, the longest losing streak in nine months, amid rising U.S. fuel supplies and signs of a slowing economy in China. Brent was steady in London.

PRECIOUS METAL WRAP: Gold traded near a two-month low on speculation that U.S. interest rates are set to increase as investors awaited remarks from Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen at a meeting of central bankers. Silver headed for a sixth week of losses in the longest slump in more than a yea

GLOBAL EVENTS TO WATCH: Core CPI m/m, Core Retail Sales m/m, Fed Chair Yellen Speaks, Jackson Hole Symposium.

Bullions Commodity Market Strategy 22ND AUGUST 2014
CS COPPER (AUG) OVERVIEW: TREND CONSOLIDATE SUP1:421 SUP2:415                    RESIST1:429 RESIST2:433 TRADING STRATEGY: BUY ON DIPS WWW.CAPITALSTARS.COM +917316790000	CS CRUDE (SEPTEMBER) OVERVIEW: TREND BEARISH SUP1:5640 SUP2:5550 RESIST1:5770 RESIST2:5850 TRADING STRATEGY: SELL ON RISE WWW.CAPITALSTARS.COM +917316790000
CS GOLD (OCTOBER) OVERVIEW:                                TREND BEARISH SUP1:27600 SUP2:27350 RESIST1:27950 RESIST2:28150 TRADING STRATEGY: SELL ON RISE WWW.CAPITALSTARS.COM +917316790000	CS SILVER (SEPTEMBER) OVERVIEW: TREND  CONSOLIDATE SUP1:41750 SUP2:41300                      RESIST1:42500 RESIST2:42800 TRADING STRATEGY: BUY ON DIPS WWW.CAPITALSTARS.COM +917316790000

Agri Commodity Market Strategy 22ND AUGUST 2014
CS CHANA (SEPTEMBER)) OVERVIEW: TREND  CONSOLIDATE SUP1:2900                                                          SUP2:2870                     RESIST1:3000 RESIST2:3020 TRADING STRATEGY: SELL ON RISE WWW.CAPITALSTARS.COM +917316790000	CS JEERA (SEPTEMBER) OVERVIEW: TREND CONSOLIDATE SUP1:11150 SUP2:10920 RESIST1:11450 RESIST2:11500 TRADING STRATEGY: SELL ON RISE WWW.CAPITALSTARS.COM +917316790000
CS TURMERIC (SEPTEMBER) OVERVIEW: TREND BULLISH SUP1:6450 SUP2:6310 RESIST1:6670 RESIST2:6780 TRADING STRATEGY: BUY ON DIPS WWW.CAPITALSTARS.COM +917316790000	CS SOYABEAN (OCTOBER) OVERVIEW: TREND  BEARISH SUP1:3350 SUP2:3260 RESIST1:3490 RESIST2:3550 TRADING STRATEGY: SELL ON RISE WWW.CAPITALSTARS.COM +917316790000

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